CD Melipilla vs Provincial Ovalle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
13.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
1º
1º
27
7º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 55 |
1º
|
56.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
2º
|
55.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 46 |
3º
|
97.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
65.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 37 |
6º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 36 |
7º
|
33% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 31 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 31 |
9º
|
27.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 30 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 29 |
11º
|
22.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 28 |
12º
|
24.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
32% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 22 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
56.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
43.5% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
REN
2 - 1
CDM
24%
25%
52%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CON
1 - 3
CDM
25%
26%
49%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CDM
0 - 1
PUE
55%
26%
20%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
JOA
1 - 1
CDM
23%
24%
53%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CDM
2 - 1
FVC
58%
25%
17%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Provincial Ovalle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
OVA
1 - 1
CDS
55%
23%
23%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
DLI
2 - 0
OVA
34%
28%
39%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
OVA
2 - 1
CON
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
GVE
2 - 0
OVA
49%
27%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2024 |
OVA
0 - 1
SAU
49%
26%
25%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |