Copa Chile 1/16
Global 0-1
CD Melipilla vs Ñublense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
34.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2021 |
CDM
3 - 1
OHI
30%
29%
42%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
DLS
5 - 1
CDM
46%
28%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
CDM
1 - 1
ANT
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
SWA
0 - 3
CDM
47%
27%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
CDM
2 - 0
UCO
19%
25%
56%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
NUB
1 - 0
ACS
30%
26%
44%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2021 |
ULC
1 - 0
NUB
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
NUB
2 - 0
CUR
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
DLS
1 - 0
NUB
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
NUB
5 - 1
COL
28%
26%
47%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |