CD Melipilla vs Naval de Talcahuano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
19%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
CDM
0 - 1
CHG
60%
22%
17%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
DER
0 - 0
CDM
56%
24%
21%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
CDM
1 - 0
CDP
42%
25%
34%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
MAL
2 - 2
CDM
51%
26%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
CDM
2 - 0
CAU
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Naval de Talcahuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
NTA
1 - 0
DSC
27%
25%
48%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
PIN
1 - 1
NTA
55%
22%
23%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
MAL
1 - 2
NTA
62%
21%
18%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
NTA
1 - 1
DER
24%
23%
53%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
CDP
1 - 1
NTA
64%
22%
15%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |