CD Melipilla vs Municipal Mejillones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
LOT
1 - 1
CDM
33%
29%
38%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CDM
1 - 2
MAL
51%
23%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
OVA
2 - 0
CDM
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CDM
3 - 1
DLI
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CHG
1 - 0
CDM
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Municipal Mejillones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
MEJ
3 - 1
DLI
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CHG
4 - 1
MEJ
55%
23%
23%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MEJ
2 - 0
LOT
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MAL
5 - 2
MEJ
57%
22%
21%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MEJ
1 - 1
OVA
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |