CD Melipilla vs Deportes Valdivia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
23.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
2º
9º
2º
27
6º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 40 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 32 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 32 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
27 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
FVC
1 - 2
CDM
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
CDM
2 - 1
TRA
42%
27%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
CON
1 - 3
CDM
19%
24%
56%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
CDM
0 - 1
GVE
42%
27%
31%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
REN
1 - 1
CDM
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Valdivia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
SAU
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
CDP
2 - 1
VAL
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 0
IBE
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
JOA
1 - 0
VAL
48%
23%
29%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 3
FVC
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |