CD Melipilla vs Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
OHI
1 - 1
CDM
55%
24%
22%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2008 |
CDM
0 - 1
EVE
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
CDP
3 - 1
CDM
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2008 |
CDM
1 - 0
ACS
30%
25%
45%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2008 |
CDM
0 - 3
UCH
34%
27%
40%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
CON
2 - 0
COB
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2008 |
CON
1 - 1
UNI
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
DLS
2 - 4
CON
55%
23%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
CON
2 - 1
UCO
30%
28%
43%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2008 |
OHI
1 - 0
CON
57%
23%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -1 |