CD Melipilla vs La Serena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
28.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
COL
4 - 3
CDM
70%
18%
12%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
CDM
1 - 2
UNI
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2007 |
HUA
2 - 3
CDM
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
CDM
3 - 2
UCO
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
ACS
1 - 1
CDM
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
La Serena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2008 |
DLS
1 - 0
CSD
49%
25%
26%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2008 |
ACS
0 - 0
DLS
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
DLS
0 - 1
ACS
34%
25%
41%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
NUB
3 - 4
DLS
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
DLS
0 - 2
LOT
64%
20%
17%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |