CD Melipilla vs Barnechea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.7%
13.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
DEP
1 - 1
CDM
34%
29%
37%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
CDM
2 - 0
SWA
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 1
CDM
25%
27%
48%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
CDM
0 - 0
COB
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2022 |
ROD
0 - 2
CDM
19%
21%
60%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Barnechea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
UCO
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2022 |
COB
3 - 2
BAR
65%
20%
15%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
CSD
38%
26%
37%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
MAG
4 - 0
BAR
64%
22%
15%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 1
USF
38%
26%
36%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |