Marcos Trincado vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
2.7%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
3-0
<0%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.1%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.4%
1-0
1.1%
2-1
0.8%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
2.2%
7.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.7%
89.5%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
13.9%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
20.1%
0-4
11.4%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
15.3%
0-5
7.4%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
9.5%
0-6
4%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.1%
-6
5%
0-7
1.9%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0%
-7
2.3%
0-8
0.8%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.9%
0-9
0.3%
1-10
0%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 1
ULC
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
UNI
4 - 3
IQU
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 1
UNI
50%
23%
27%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
HUA
2 - 2
UNI
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
UNI
1 - 2
UCO
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |