CONCACAF League Last 16
Global 2-2
CD Marathón vs Real Estelí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
22.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
RES
0 - 1
MAR
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 1
OLI
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
VIC
1 - 0
MAR
12%
22%
66%
|
69 | 46 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
MAR
2 - 1
RSO
66%
21%
14%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 1
RES
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Real Estelí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
DIR
3 - 2
EST
46%
27%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
EST
4 - 1
UNA
76%
17%
7%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2021 |
EST
2 - 0
JAP
69%
20%
11%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
EST
1 - 1
DIR
46%
25%
29%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
JUV
1 - 3
EST
24%
26%
51%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |