CD Marathón vs Real España analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
28.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
8º
2º
21
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
MOT
3 - 0
MAR
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 0
VID
56%
24%
20%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
ALI
1 - 0
MAR
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 1
MUN
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 1
MAR
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
RES
2 - 1
JAG
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
OLI
4 - 0
RES
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
RES
3 - 2
VIC
67%
21%
13%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
RES
0 - 1
EST
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 0
RES
53%
22%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |