CD Marathón vs Lobos UPNFM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
3º
7º
4º
21
2º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
JUT
1 - 1
MAR
35%
29%
37%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 0
OLI
45%
26%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
VIC
3 - 0
MAR
39%
27%
35%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 0
ALI
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
CDG
1 - 2
MAR
20%
26%
54%
|
74 | 42 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 4
CDG
68%
20%
11%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ALI
4 - 0
JAG
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
JAG
0 - 2
MOT
30%
27%
43%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 0
RES
31%
27%
43%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
RSO
0 - 0
JAG
47%
25%
29%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |