CD Marathón vs Lobos de la UPNFM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
13.8%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
8º
2º
15
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
OLI
5 - 1
MAR
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CDG
0 - 1
MAR
13%
24%
63%
|
74 | 18 | 56 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
RSO
69%
20%
12%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
VIC
0 - 1
MAR
25%
27%
48%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
RES
1 - 2
MAR
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos de la UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
JAG
2 - 2
ALI
29%
29%
43%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2023 |
JAG
1 - 4
MOT
25%
27%
49%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2023 |
OLI
3 - 1
JAG
66%
21%
14%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2023 |
JAG
1 - 0
VIC
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
JAG
2 - 1
VID
28%
25%
47%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |