CD Marathón vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
12.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
3º
9º
4º
13
3º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
28 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
JAG
2 - 1
MAR
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
VIC
61%
22%
18%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
RES
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
OLI
0 - 0
MAR
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 2
VID
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 0
HNP
59%
23%
19%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
HNP
1 - 3
RES
18%
25%
57%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
RSO
3 - 2
HNP
31%
23%
46%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
HNP
0 - 2
JAG
40%
26%
34%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
HNP
0 - 1
OLI
21%
26%
54%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |