CD Marathón vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
PLA
2 - 4
MAR
32%
26%
42%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 2
RSO
74%
17%
10%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 2
OLI
33%
24%
42%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
OLI
5 - 0
MAR
53%
24%
23%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
MAR
5 - 2
PLA
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
RSO
1 - 1
HNP
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
HNP
0 - 0
OLI
6%
17%
78%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
PLA
4 - 1
HNP
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
HNP
0 - 4
PLA
34%
26%
41%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
HNP
2 - 2
RSO
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |