CD Marathón vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
18.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
PLA
1 - 0
MAR
30%
27%
42%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
RES
1 - 0
MAR
40%
25%
35%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
MAR
3 - 1
RDM
70%
20%
10%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
BRA
0 - 1
MAR
2%
6%
93%
|
71 | 14 | 57 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
RES
1 - 1
MAR
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
HNP
1 - 1
OLI
16%
23%
61%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
HNP
0 - 1
RDM
53%
24%
24%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
VID
1 - 4
HNP
42%
27%
31%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
DSA
1 - 0
HNP
32%
24%
45%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
HNP
1 - 2
PLA
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |