CD Marathón vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2019 |
MOT
5 - 1
MAR
52%
25%
22%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
VID
2 - 1
MAR
20%
27%
53%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 2
RES
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 2
JUT
70%
19%
12%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
OLI
3 - 0
MAR
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
HNP
1 - 0
JAG
39%
28%
34%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
RES
2 - 0
HNP
62%
22%
16%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
HNP
0 - 0
RDM
47%
25%
29%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
VID
2 - 1
HNP
34%
26%
40%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
PLA
2 - 0
HNP
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |