Clausura Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
CD Marathón vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
40%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
VID
64%
22%
15%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SOC
2 - 1
MAR
27%
30%
43%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
EST
1 - 2
MAR
7%
15%
79%
|
65 | 15 | 50 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 2
MOT
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 2
HNP
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
HNP
3 - 2
JUT
63%
22%
16%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
RES
2 - 1
HNP
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
HNP
2 - 1
SOC
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 2
HNP
44%
26%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
HNP
0 - 0
RSO
49%
25%
26%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |