CD Marathón vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 1
MAR
42%
27%
32%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 1
MOT
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2014 |
RES
0 - 2
MAR
59%
22%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 2
OLI
33%
28%
40%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2014 |
VIC
1 - 1
MAR
43%
26%
32%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
RES
1 - 0
HNP
50%
25%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
HNP
5 - 3
PAR
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
HNP
3 - 2
VIC
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
PLA
4 - 4
HNP
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2014 |
RSO
2 - 1
HNP
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |