CD Marathón vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
29.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
VIL
2 - 0
MAR
10%
17%
73%
|
63 | 29 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
RSO
0 - 0
MAR
45%
27%
29%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 0
VID
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 1
MAR
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 2
OLI
32%
27%
42%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
LEP
2 - 2
HNP
6%
13%
81%
|
61 | 15 | 46 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
VID
3 - 1
HNP
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
HNP
1 - 3
RES
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
PLA
3 - 3
HNP
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
HNP
0 - 2
VIC
56%
24%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -2 |