CD Marathón vs Deportes Savio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
VID
2 - 2
MAR
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
MOT
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
VIC
2 - 0
MAR
42%
25%
33%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
CAL
0 - 0
MAR
38%
24%
38%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
RES
2 - 3
MAR
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Deportes Savio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2012 |
MOT
1 - 1
DSA
60%
23%
17%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
DSA
0 - 0
RSO
32%
28%
40%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
DSA
2 - 1
VID
35%
28%
38%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
CHO
2 - 1
DSA
61%
23%
17%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2012 |
DSA
1 - 0
RES
19%
25%
56%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | +1 |