CD Marathón vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
PLA
1 - 2
MAR
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
COM
1 - 2
MAR
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
VIC
2 - 2
MAR
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
MAR
4 - 0
MOT
58%
24%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2008 |
DSA
2 - 1
MAR
27%
28%
45%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ATL
1 - 1
CAZ
42%
25%
34%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
CAZ
2 - 1
NEC
54%
24%
22%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
CAZ
3 - 2
MON
49%
25%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
CAZ
2 - 0
EST
59%
22%
20%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2008 |
SNL
2 - 1
CAZ
38%
26%
36%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |