CD Marathón vs CD Victoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
3º
7º
4º
20
3º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 2
OLI
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 1
MAR
51%
24%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 0
CDG
81%
13%
6%
|
75 | 38 | 37 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
CDG
0 - 2
MAR
5%
12%
84%
|
75 | 38 | 37 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
ALI
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
CD Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 0
VIC
58%
23%
20%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
VIC
1 - 0
MAR
30%
27%
42%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
VIC
0 - 1
JAG
53%
24%
23%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
RES
0 - 1
VIC
59%
23%
19%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
VIC
2 - 1
VID
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |