Apertura Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 1-3
CD Marathón vs CD Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
41.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
RSO
0 - 3
MAR
28%
26%
46%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
MOT
2 - 0
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
0 - 0
VIC
79%
15%
6%
|
68 | 48 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
OLI
1 - 0
MAR
54%
25%
21%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 1
PLA
69%
19%
12%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2021 |
PLA
1 - 4
OLI
17%
22%
60%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
OLI
0 - 0
MOT
43%
26%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
OLI
2 - 1
JAG
54%
25%
22%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2021 |
OLI
1 - 0
MAR
54%
25%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
HNP
0 - 2
OLI
14%
21%
65%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |