Apertura Playoffs Eliminatorias Semi-finals
Global 3-4
CD Marathón vs FC Motagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
MOT
2 - 1
MAR
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 0
JAG
66%
21%
14%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
OLI
5 - 1
MAR
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CDG
0 - 1
MAR
13%
24%
63%
|
74 | 18 | 56 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
RSO
69%
20%
12%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2023 |
MOT
2 - 1
MAR
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2023 |
MOT
1 - 1
ALI
47%
24%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 2
MOT
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
MOT
1 - 3
VIC
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
RSO
3 - 2
MOT
24%
26%
50%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | -1 |