CD Marathón vs FC Motagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
26.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
3º
9º
4º
25
4º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
28 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
HNP
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
JAG
2 - 1
MAR
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
VIC
61%
22%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
RES
40%
27%
33%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
OLI
0 - 0
MAR
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
RSO
0 - 0
MOT
16%
24%
60%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
MOT
2 - 1
VID
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
OLI
3 - 1
MOT
49%
27%
24%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
MOT
0 - 1
ALI
48%
27%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
VIC
2 - 2
MOT
31%
28%
41%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |