Clausura Playoffs Semi-finals
Global 2-4
CD Marathón vs FC Motagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
38%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2019 |
MOT
2 - 0
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
RDM
0 - 2
MAR
27%
29%
44%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
PLA
0 - 0
MAR
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
MAR
6 - 0
HNP
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2019 |
MOT
5 - 1
MAR
52%
25%
22%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2019 |
MOT
2 - 0
MAR
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2019 |
MOT
3 - 0
PLA
63%
22%
16%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2019 |
PLA
0 - 0
MOT
31%
25%
45%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
MOT
1 - 1
VID
76%
17%
7%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
JUT
2 - 3
MOT
22%
26%
52%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |