Clausura Playoffs Final
Global 1-1
CD Marathón vs FC Motagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
31.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2018 |
MOT
1 - 1
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 1
RES
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
RES
0 - 1
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 1
HNP
61%
22%
18%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
VID
0 - 1
MAR
26%
28%
46%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2018 |
MOT
1 - 1
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2018 |
MOT
1 - 1
OLI
41%
24%
35%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
OLI
0 - 0
MOT
46%
24%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
VID
0 - 1
MOT
21%
26%
53%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2018 |
MOT
3 - 2
JUT
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | -1 |