CD Marathón vs FC Motagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
32.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
PLA
1 - 0
MAR
42%
26%
33%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
PAR
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
PAR
3 - 1
MAR
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 4
RSO
42%
28%
31%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
OLI
3 - 0
MAR
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
MOT
1 - 0
RSO
45%
28%
27%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
DSA
0 - 1
MOT
42%
27%
32%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
PLA
1 - 0
MOT
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2013 |
MOT
1 - 1
VIC
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
RES
2 - 0
MOT
48%
26%
27%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |