CD Marathón vs Morvant Caledonia United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
19%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 0
PLA
68%
20%
12%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 3
SES
22%
24%
54%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
DSA
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
VID
2 - 2
MAR
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
MOT
49%
26%
25%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Morvant Caledonia United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 3
NOR
62%
22%
17%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 3
SES
20%
23%
58%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
CAL
0 - 0
MAR
38%
24%
38%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
SES
3 - 1
CAL
76%
16%
8%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2012 |
CAL
1 - 1
CON
51%
24%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |