CD Marathón vs Olancho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
3º
7º
4º
8
3º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 33 |
1º
|
35.5% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 31 |
2º
|
26% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 30 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
15 | 29 |
4º
|
21% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 24 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 24 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 21 |
7º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
8 | 20 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 19 |
9º
|
29.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 11 |
10º
|
78.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
31.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
64% | 30% |
|
Mid-table
|
4.5% | 70% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
CDG
1 - 2
MAR
20%
26%
54%
|
73 | 40 | 33 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
RSO
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
MOT
0 - 1
MAR
48%
26%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 1
RES
45%
26%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
JAG
2 - 0
MAR
27%
27%
47%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Olancho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
ALI
1 - 2
OLI
47%
25%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
VIC
3 - 2
ALI
41%
29%
30%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
ALI
4 - 0
CDG
66%
22%
12%
|
73 | 41 | 32 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 0
MOT
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
RSO
0 - 0
ALI
39%
28%
33%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |