Manuel Rubio Sub 19 vs Real Sporting U19 B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.7%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
79%
Win probability
2.88
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
10%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.1%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.1%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.6%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.9%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
4º
15º
15º
43
1º
14º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
43 | 77 |
1º
|
47.5% | |
|
1º
|
46 | 75 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 72 |
3º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 67 |
4º
|
43% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 59 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 58 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 53 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 47 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 44 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 44 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 44 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 38 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 34 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 31 |
16º
|
32% | |
|
17º
|
11 | 22 |
17º
|
71.5% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 13 |
18º
|
87.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 47.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
83% | 52.5% |
|
Relegation
|
17% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manuel Rubio Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 1
MAN
48%
21%
31%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
MAN
1 - 3
SDL
24%
21%
55%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
SPO
6 - 1
MAN
90%
8%
3%
|
8 | 16 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
MAN
2 - 1
ALC
20%
21%
60%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
REA
5 - 0
MAN
42%
23%
35%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Real Sporting U19 B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 2
89%
8%
4%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SPO
3 - 2
COV
73%
15%
12%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
LLA
1 - 2
SPO
11%
16%
74%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SPO
2 - 0
JUV
91%
7%
2%
|
20 | 8 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ARE
2 - 3
SPO
5%
12%
83%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |