Manuel Rubio Sub 19 vs Club Alcázar U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
43.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
4º
15º
15º
20
10º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
43 | 77 |
1º
|
47.5% | |
|
1º
|
46 | 75 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 72 |
3º
|
35.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 67 |
4º
|
43% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 59 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 58 |
6º
|
26.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 53 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 47 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 44 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 44 |
10º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 44 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
20 | 38 |
13º
|
15% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 34 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
26.5% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 31 |
16º
|
32% | |
|
17º
|
11 | 22 |
17º
|
71.5% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 13 |
18º
|
87.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
83% | 90.5% |
|
Relegation
|
17% | 9.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manuel Rubio Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 6
MAN
33%
22%
45%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MAN
3 - 2
AST
31%
22%
47%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
GRU
0 - 1
MAN
57%
21%
23%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MAN
3 - 3
SPO
8%
13%
79%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 1
MAN
48%
21%
31%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Club Alcázar U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ALC
2 - 0
CDR
75%
15%
11%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
REA
1 - 1
ALC
76%
15%
10%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ALC
3 - 1
COV
27%
21%
52%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +2 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
LLA
3 - 1
ALC
51%
22%
27%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
ALC
1 - 3
JUV
76%
15%
9%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -2 |