Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 7-3
CD Málaga vs Xerez CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
ZAR
2 - 1
MAL
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
MAL
0 - 0
SEV
38%
27%
35%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1982 |
XER
3 - 2
MAL
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
VAD
0 - 0
MAL
60%
23%
17%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1982 |
MAL
3 - 1
VCF
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Xerez CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
XER
0 - 0
DEP
48%
26%
27%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
ATB
2 - 0
XER
66%
21%
12%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1982 |
XER
3 - 2
MAL
41%
27%
32%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
XER
0 - 1
MUR
43%
28%
30%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 1982 |
ELC
1 - 0
XER
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 73 | 17 | 0 |