CD Málaga vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
3.67
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.3%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9%
5.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
SPO
2 - 1
MAL
60%
19%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1948 |
MAL
7 - 1
RAC
75%
14%
11%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1948 |
GRA
1 - 0
MAL
51%
22%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1948 |
MAL
3 - 0
BAR
67%
16%
17%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
CAS
1 - 1
MAL
52%
21%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1948 |
VAL
1 - 1
HER
47%
21%
33%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1948 |
RCF
3 - 0
VAL
76%
14%
10%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1948 |
SPO
3 - 2
VAL
81%
11%
8%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1948 |
VAL
4 - 2
RAC
61%
18%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1948 |
GRA
4 - 2
VAL
72%
16%
12%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |