Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 1-5
CD Málaga vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
32.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1963 |
VCF
5 - 1
MAL
83%
11%
6%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
MAL
3 - 1
OVI
46%
23%
31%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | +2 |
| 12 May. 1963 |
OVI
1 - 1
MAL
73%
16%
11%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | +1 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
MAL
2 - 0
ALA
70%
16%
14%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
ALA
1 - 0
MAL
55%
21%
24%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1963 |
VCF
5 - 1
MAL
83%
11%
6%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1963 |
VCF
3 - 1
CDT
86%
9%
4%
|
84 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1963 |
ROM
1 - 0
VCF
64%
19%
17%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1963 |
CDT
1 - 0
VCF
36%
25%
39%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | -1 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
ELD
1 - 0
VCF
29%
25%
46%
|
85 | 50 | 35 | 0 |