Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-1
CD Málaga vs SD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.2%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
14%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14%
9.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
RAY
2 - 4
MAL
39%
31%
31%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1975 |
MAL
2 - 0
DEP
65%
23%
13%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
PUE
2 - 1
MAL
32%
32%
36%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
MAL
1 - 2
VAD
63%
23%
14%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1975 |
MUR
1 - 5
MAL
47%
29%
25%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
SD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1976 |
SFE
2 - 1
SDM
54%
24%
22%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1975 |
SDM
1 - 0
POR
60%
24%
16%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
MEL
2 - 3
SDM
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 1975 |
SDM
2 - 1
CDB
54%
25%
20%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1975 |
RJA
3 - 0
SDM
64%
22%
14%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |