CD Málaga vs SD Ceuta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.2%
Win probability
3.87
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.5%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.3%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.3%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
3.6%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.7%
7.9%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
7.9%
4.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
MUR
1 - 0
MAL
51%
22%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
MAL
6 - 2
RCF
61%
17%
22%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
HER
3 - 0
MAL
57%
20%
23%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
MAL
1 - 1
VAL
85%
9%
6%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
SPO
2 - 1
MAL
60%
19%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
SD Ceuta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1948 |
SDC
3 - 2
MEL
79%
13%
9%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1948 |
BAL
1 - 3
SDC
48%
21%
31%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
SDC
3 - 1
RCD
33%
25%
42%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1948 |
SDC
3 - 1
BET
39%
23%
39%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +2 |
| 28 Nov. 1948 |
CAD
5 - 1
SDC
40%
22%
38%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -2 |