Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 3-1
CD Málaga vs CD Ronda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
5.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
MAL
0 - 0
ALB
67%
22%
12%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
FCB
2 - 2
MAL
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
RON
1 - 0
MAL
23%
28%
48%
|
74 | 30 | 44 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
MAL
3 - 0
CAS
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1985 |
MUR
1 - 2
MAL
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
CD Ronda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
RON
5 - 2
CDF
76%
16%
8%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
ANT
0 - 1
RON
67%
20%
13%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1985 |
RON
1 - 0
MAL
23%
28%
48%
|
30 | 74 | 44 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1985 |
RON
2 - 2
MAR
47%
25%
27%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1985 |
MAL
1 - 1
RON
45%
26%
29%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |