CD Málaga vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.6%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.5%
13.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
MAL
4 - 0
SDC
78%
13%
9%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
RCD
1 - 3
MAL
48%
22%
30%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
MAL
5 - 3
CAD
55%
21%
24%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
EHA
1 - 2
MAL
29%
23%
48%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
MAL
2 - 0
GRA
55%
20%
25%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
EHA
2 - 2
REC
28%
21%
51%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1940 |
REC
3 - 1
SDC
69%
16%
15%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1940 |
GRA
7 - 2
REC
65%
18%
17%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1940 |
REC
5 - 3
RCD
63%
18%
19%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
JFC
2 - 1
REC
68%
17%
15%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |