Copa del Rey Last 16
Global 4-2
CD Málaga vs Real Oviedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
31.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1963 |
OVI
1 - 1
MAL
73%
16%
11%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
MAL
2 - 0
ALA
70%
16%
14%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
ALA
1 - 0
MAL
55%
21%
24%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
OSA
3 - 0
MAL
75%
15%
11%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
MAL
1 - 0
CCF
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Real Oviedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1963 |
OVI
1 - 1
MAL
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
OVI
1 - 1
RSO
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
RSO
0 - 3
OVI
55%
21%
24%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1963 |
ATM
0 - 0
OVI
79%
13%
8%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
OVI
5 - 1
SEV
43%
25%
32%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |