CD Málaga vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
9.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
MAL
1 - 2
GRA
72%
16%
12%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
CDB
1 - 1
MAL
50%
23%
28%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
MAL
3 - 0
CAS
80%
12%
8%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
MAL
3 - 1
MLL
80%
12%
8%
|
72 | 47 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1954 |
VAL
2 - 3
MAL
44%
23%
32%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
MUR
2 - 1
UDE
64%
19%
17%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
MUR
4 - 2
MEL
62%
19%
19%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
UDL
1 - 0
MUR
67%
19%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
CDT
1 - 0
MUR
68%
18%
15%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1954 |
XER
1 - 1
MUR
64%
19%
17%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |