CD Málaga vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
15%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
17.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
11.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
LIN
0 - 1
MAL
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
CAD
1 - 1
MAL
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
GDE
0 - 3
MAL
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
MAL
3 - 1
LIN
76%
16%
8%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
MAL
2 - 0
ALG
66%
23%
12%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
PUE
0 - 2
RJA
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
RJA
3 - 2
GDE
57%
26%
18%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
ALG
3 - 0
RJA
59%
25%
16%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
RJA
0 - 1
PUE
66%
20%
14%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
RJA
1 - 1
MUR
51%
27%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |