CD Málaga vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
20.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
CEU
1 - 0
MAL
64%
21%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
SFE
0 - 0
MAL
60%
21%
20%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
MAL
3 - 0
HER
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
RAY
1 - 0
MAL
57%
21%
21%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
MAL
0 - 0
MUR
56%
23%
22%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
RJA
3 - 0
PUL
47%
25%
29%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
CDT
4 - 0
RJA
64%
20%
16%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
RJA
0 - 0
SFE
61%
20%
19%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
MUR
2 - 0
RJA
61%
21%
18%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
RJA
0 - 1
LEV
56%
22%
22%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |