CD Málaga vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.8%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.9%
15.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
MAL
5 - 1
CAT
71%
16%
13%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
HER
0 - 0
MAL
47%
23%
29%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
MAL
5 - 0
MUR
77%
14%
9%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
MAL
1 - 2
GRA
72%
16%
12%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
CDB
1 - 1
MAL
50%
23%
28%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
RJA
4 - 0
DEP
54%
20%
26%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1954 |
OVI
2 - 2
RJA
62%
19%
19%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
RJA
4 - 2
RAC
52%
21%
28%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
ATH
0 - 0
RJA
84%
10%
6%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
RJA
5 - 3
OSA
68%
17%
14%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |