Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 1-0
CD Málaga vs Racing Ferrol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
SAB
1 - 0
MAL
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1978 |
MAL
2 - 1
BAR
59%
25%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
GRA
2 - 1
MAL
51%
25%
24%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
MAL
0 - 0
VAD
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1978 |
RMC
0 - 1
MAL
60%
21%
19%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Racing Ferrol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 1979 |
ALM
1 - 0
RCF
74%
17%
9%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1978 |
RCF
2 - 1
CAS
51%
27%
22%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1978 |
CAD
2 - 1
RCF
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1978 |
BET
3 - 1
RCF
81%
14%
5%
|
54 | 78 | 24 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
RCF
0 - 1
TER
55%
26%
20%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |