Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 2-1
CD Málaga vs Osasuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
9.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
BUR
1 - 0
MAL
43%
29%
28%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
MAL
3 - 0
CDT
61%
24%
15%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1976 |
OSA
1 - 1
MAL
37%
25%
39%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1976 |
CCF
0 - 2
MAL
42%
29%
29%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
MAL
4 - 0
GIM
69%
21%
10%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Osasuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1976 |
OSA
2 - 1
CAS
42%
27%
31%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1976 |
FCB
3 - 2
OSA
70%
19%
12%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1976 |
OSA
1 - 1
MAL
37%
25%
39%
|
54 | 77 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1976 |
REC
1 - 0
OSA
61%
23%
15%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1976 |
OSA
0 - 1
CEL
41%
29%
30%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |