Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 5-0
CD Málaga vs Mérida CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.2%
5%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
OSA
3 - 2
MAL
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
MAL
3 - 0
RJA
66%
22%
12%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
LIN
0 - 1
MAL
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
CAD
1 - 1
MAL
56%
23%
21%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
GDE
0 - 3
MAL
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Mérida CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
MEL
1 - 0
MER
67%
22%
11%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
MER
1 - 0
VIL
72%
18%
10%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
CIE
0 - 2
MER
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1978 |
JER
0 - 0
MER
50%
29%
21%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1978 |
CAR
1 - 1
MER
57%
21%
21%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |