Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-6
CD Málaga vs Granada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
33.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 1942 |
ELC
3 - 0
MAL
37%
23%
40%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1941 |
MAL
1 - 3
CAR
79%
12%
8%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 1941 |
CAD
4 - 0
MAL
55%
22%
23%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1941 |
MAL
2 - 2
BET
40%
24%
36%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1941 |
SDC
0 - 1
MAL
52%
22%
26%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Granada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1942 |
GRA
4 - 0
ESP
34%
22%
44%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1942 |
HER
2 - 2
GRA
58%
21%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1942 |
GRA
7 - 3
CAS
55%
20%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 1942 |
OVI
3 - 1
GRA
79%
12%
9%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1942 |
GRA
3 - 2
SEV
35%
23%
42%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +1 |