Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 4-1
CD Málaga vs CD Gimnastico Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.3%
Win probability
3.08
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.4%
5.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Málaga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1979 |
MAL
2 - 1
VCF
32%
30%
38%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
ATH
3 - 1
MAL
79%
14%
8%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
MAL
1 - 0
UDL
34%
29%
37%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1979 |
ATM
0 - 0
MAL
82%
12%
6%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1979 |
MAL
2 - 1
SEV
37%
29%
34%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
CD Gimnastico Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1979 |
GIM
0 - 0
MAL
32%
24%
44%
|
17 | 68 | 51 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
UBE
3 - 1
GIM
82%
12%
5%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
GIM
2 - 1
UBE
22%
26%
52%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | +4 |
| 28 Sep. 1977 |
GIM
0 - 1
UPL
13%
18%
70%
|
14 | 49 | 35 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
UPL
3 - 0
GIM
91%
7%
2%
|
14 | 48 | 34 | 0 |